Grand National Tips

08:54, 19 Dec 2018 Updated 09:03, 19 Dec 2018

Grand National Guide has an exceptional record for finding the best tips for the World's biggest race. We have advised three winners in the last seven years including the 50/1 winner the year before last.

Our Top 4 Grand National Tips for 2018

Our expert tipsters have provided the following four tips for the 2018 Grand National. Whether you like to back one of the favourites, have a good each way bet or prefer trying your luck with a longshot, we have a selection of tips for you. Some of our regular followers back all four of our tips each year and have seen great returns over recent Grand Nationals.

Grand National 2018 Tip 1: Anibale Fly - Best of The Favourites

Our best bet from the top six or so in the betting for the 2018 Grand National.

Anibale Fly ran a great race to finish 3rd in the Cheltenham Gold Cup and the runner-up there Might Bite has already advertised the strength of that form by winning this week. Anibale Fly is ridden by one of the most succesful Grand National jockeys currently riding in Barry Geraghty so looks to have everything going for him.

Grand National 2018 Tip 2: Ucello Conti - A Great Each Way Bet

For our each way predictions we look for horses outside the top few in the betting with experience over the course who run consistently and can give you a great run for your money at generous odds.

Three previous runs over the grand national fences including a sixth finish in this race the year before last and was only beaten 2.5 lengths in Becher Chase later the same year. Unlucky faller in last years national when running well and has since performed well in some high class races. Trained by Gordon Elliott who has been in top form this season and ridden by the experienced Daryl Jacob who has a previous national win and place on his record. Should give you a great run for your money and has a great chance of finishing in the places.

Grand National 2018 Tip 3: Vieux Lion Rouge - A Great Each Way Bet

For our second each way tip on Grand National 2018 we look for another horse outside the top few in the betting with experience over the course at generous odds.

Plenty of experience over these national fences, this will be his fifth attempt and third straight grand national where he will look to improve on his 7th and 6th place finishes on the 10th anniversary of trainer David Pipe's win in this race with Comply Or Die.

Grand National Tip 4: Warriors Tale - The Best Long Shot Bet

For our best long shot bet we look for a horse at big odds with a great chance of running well and out performing those odds. Many of our followers like to place a bet on an outsider. This is the one which we think has the best chance of landing those big odds.

Bought by triple Grand National winning owner Trevor Hemmings after finishing an excellent head second in a three mile Listed Handicap Chase at Doncaster in January and has been kept fresh since by previous Grand National winning trainer Paul Nicholls. Ground versatile and gives the impression will stay this trip having run well over further than three miles.

How We Chose our 2018 Grand National Tips

Here we will provide you with our top four best bets for the race. We do not focus on the favourites of course, as many of you will know from following our 50/1 winning tip the year before last!

Grand National Tips from Expert Horse Racing Tipsters

The content on this site is put together by a team of long term horse racing tipsters and Grand National experts who spend most of the year studying the race as part of their work on this site. Our tipsters also tip regularly over on OLBG showing consistent profits from their racing tips. Years of tipping experience on horse racing goes into these Grand national predictions!

Each of our four experts who work on Grand National Guide put forward their best bet for the race and these form our four tips.

The Best Win Bet, Each Way Bets and Long Shot for Grand National 2018

We aim to provide you with the best win bet for Grand National 2018, two great each way tips for the race and a long shot prediction.

The win bet will probably come from the first 5 or 6 or so in the market and the prediction will be based on the horse out of the leading contenders which we think is the best bet. The best bet isn't just the most likely winner but the best bet at the odds available. It is likely we would look for one of the best handicapped horses in the race for this bet.

A good each way bet will be a tip which we think will stay the trip well and has a good level of jumping and experience to make a likely selection to get round the course. Good each way tips on the grand national can sometimes include horses that have run well in the race before. They may not necessarily be the best in at the weights for this years race but they may be a more reliable runner than others. Maybe they will be caught out by an exceptionally well handicapped horse but they should give us a good run for our money and if there aren't well handicapped horses still standing at the end of the race, we may well get the winner!

A good outsider may be a horse which the market under rates as well as the handicapper. Horses which run well in the Grand National at big odds are often horses which aren't trained by better known trainers or ridden by better known jockeys. Maybe the media overlook them for a reason we don't agree with. For example our tip for the race the year before last was Rule The World who many people over looked as the horse hadnt won a race over a long distance. However he was runner up in the Irish Grand National and that was enough for us to confirm his stamina. Had he won that race he would never have been available at 50/1 and maybe he would never have been on the weight he was. It is these sorts of angles that we look for when trying to establish good outside bets for the race.

Which Grand National Tips to Follow?

Whichever of our tips you choose, we wish you the best of luck and hope you get a great run for your money. Many of our regular followers choose to follow all of our grand national predictions. There are 5 or 6 places available on each way bets with some bookmakers. Those who backed all our tips last year were well rewarded with an exciting race as our predictions finished 2nd,4th and 5th.

If you would like to make your own selection for this years race then please take a look at our full list of grand national runners 2018

Grand National Trends Tips

If you like to come up with your own grand national predictions then this section may help you to narrow down the field. Here we look at all the key factors to consider when deciding on the best grand national tips.

By looking through the Grand National history, it’s easy to identify the type of horse required to win the Grand National. Many people try to use trends to narrow down the field.

These trends can help you to identify a short list of horses from which to take your best bets.

Grand National Trends Tips - The Short List

  1. Chase runs at least 10

  2. Age 8 to 11

  3. Season Runs 3 or more

  4. Days since last run 20-60

  5. 3m chase wins at least 1

  6. Weight up to 11st 6lb

  7. Season Fall no more than 1

  8. Career Fall no more than 2

  9. Biggest Chase win over 30k

Many previous winners, shared the above characteristics. Each one of these trends should be considered when looking at the list of this years Grand National runners.

Grand National 2018 Trend Horses

If we apply the above criteria to the 2018 Grand National we are left with the following shortlist:
  1. Tiger Roll

  2. Milansbar

  3. Regal Encore

  4. Shantou Flyer

  5. Vieux Lion Rouge

  6. Chase The Spud

  7. Houblon Des Obeaux

  8. Pendra

Grand National Tips - Age

Stamina reserves and jumping ability are the two most crucial requirements for a Grand National winner. Younger horses have a poor record in the race which is probably because they tend to have more speed than stamina.

As horses age, like humans, they tend to lose speed and gain stamina. With so many difficult jumps, experience is the key to success. We have to go back to 1940 to find the last time that a horse younger than 8 won the Grand National.

Much older horses also tend to struggle in the Grand National as a horse needs to be in its prime to survive the tests of the World's greatest race. The peak for a staying chaser is thought to be around 8 - 11 years old. Grand National trends back this up with all of the last 10 winners coming from this age group.

We have to go back to 1923 to find the last time that a horse older than 12 won the Grand National.

Grand National Trends - Class

It may seem an obvious statement but every year thousands of pounds are lost on horses that don't have the class to win a Grand National.

Most recent Grand National winners ran off an official rating over 136 with only Bobby Jo and Little Polvier winning from "out of the handicap."

Grand National trends - bad horses simply don't win the race! Grand National trends like this are too strong to be ignored. Concentrate on those rated over 136 on the day of the race. This trend may not be very helpful these days as almost all, if not all runners may meet this trend. The class of horses running in the Grand National has improved in recent years. In 2015 for example Many Clouds was rated 160 and all of the first five home were rated 140 or higher. It is likely you should now be looking for a higher rated horse.

Grand National Tips - Weight

The weight a horse carries is probably the most important statistical factor when analysing top class staying handicap chases. With the Grand National being the longest and toughest staying handicap chase this is made even more important.

Since the war only seven Grand Nationals have been won by horses carrying more than 11st 5 lbs. Two of those high weight victories were by the incredible Red Rum.

Grand National trends tips - horses carrying more than 11 stone 6lbs have tended to struggle.

Grand National Trends - Stamina

Stamina is a critical ingredient for winning the Grand National. Every year we see very talented 2.5 milers that the public & press get behind, yet they never seem to last home.

The 2012 joint favourite Seabass had only won over 2m 6f and it looked like his stamina ran out in the final stages of the race. The BHA have taken steps to reduce the possibility of horses running the Grand National who have lots to find on stamina but it should still pay to concentrate on those horses who have categorically proved their stamina.

Grand National tips - if a horse hasn't previously won over at least three miles then you are taking a big chance that its first long distance win will be the Grand National. Concentrate on those with proven stamina. 2016 winner Rule The World did not meet this criteria as the Grand National was the first race over fences he won! However he had proven his stamina with some excellent placed runs including when finishing second in the 3m 5f Irish National. So use this rule as an indicator but don't overlook the obvious exceptions.

Grand National Tips - Ability to Perform in Top Races

Recent winners have all shown proven ability in a top race. Even the horses who hadn't won a high class race had performed well in one. As mentioned earlier Rule The World had been placed in an Irish National and Pineau De Re had finished placed at the Cheltenham Festival.

Grand National trends - Its far safer to concentrate on runners with proven ability. These horses have shown that they are capable of being competitive at the highest level. Concentrate on horses with proven ability in a decent class race.

Grand National Trends - Jumping Experience

Horses with little jumping experience don't win Grand Nationals. To jump these large, difficult obstacles, a horse needs to have the confidence behind them which they have gained by jumping plenty of fences before.

Schooling on the training grounds doesn't make up for real experience at the race course.

Each of the last 10 Grand National winners had run at least ten times over fences before the start on the big day at Aintree.

Grand National tips - this normally eliminates a few novices and those with little experience due to being off the course with injuries.

Grand National Trends - Tiredness/Trained for the Race

A tired and over raced horse can't be expected to beat 39 other horses in the toughest race on earth. Horses who aren't at peak fitness will struggle.

The Grand National is usually run around three-four weeks after the Cheltenham Festival and many horses will have been trained so that they peak in time for Cheltenham, not Aintree.

Some would think that this leaves them at a big disadvantage and if they have been in a tough race at the festival, three weeks or so might not be enough time for some of them to recover.

However, in recent years several horses have run well at Cheltenham and gone on to win the National. So maybe this is another trend which is changing. In recent years Many Clouds (sixth in the Gold Cup), Silver Birch (second in the Cross Country), Bindaree (sixth) Don’t Push It (pulled up in the Pertemps Final) and Pineau De Re (2nd in the Pertemps Final) have gone on to win the Grand National after racing at Cheltenham.

Grand National Tips based on Trainers and Jockeys

Its best to concentrate on the proven ability of the horse rather than the jockey and trainer.

Jockeys can win with their first run in the Grand National whereas some of the best national hunt jockeys have never won the race. A perfect example of this was two years ago when jockey David Mullins gave Rule The World the perfect ride to win on his first ride around the Aintree fences.

Some trainers have a better history of training staying chasers and particularly Grand National winners than others. In recent years Nigel Twiston Davies has trained two runners to victory, whilst the late Ginger McCain won his fourth Grand National with Amberleigh House.

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Odds are correct at time of publishing but are subject to change

19/12/18 09:05:02