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Capodanno Odds and Grand National Form 2024

Age: 8 Weight: 11-4 Horse No: 0

Capodanno was installed as one of the early favourites for the 2023 Grand National after his Grade One victory in the three-mile novice chase at Punchestown in April. The Willie Mullins trained gelding was an easy winner that day but with short-price favourite Bob Ollinger not running his race it would be easy to question the true value of that form. 

Mullins stated in a recent stable tour that he sees Capodanno as a potential Gold Cup horse of the future and cited this season’s early targets as the Coral Cold Cup at Newbury and then possibly the King George, neither of which he made it to, presumably due to injury. The trainer feels that three miles on good ground at Punchestown suited him and that he feels that the horse has ‘huge improvement in him’. 

Capodanno already has a rating of 160 which appears to be a big ask for a horse at this stage of his career. The gelding currently has a jumping style that appears to be a work in progress. The JP McManus owned gelding unseated his rider at the fifth fence in the Grade One 2m 5f Novice Chase at the Dublin Racing Festival and then made a series of mistakes when fourth behind L’Homme Presse in the Brown Advisory Chase at the Cheltenham Festival over three miles. The victory at Punchestown followed those two performances but even there he made a very bad mistake at the third-last and did well to go on and win the race by over six lengths. Capodanno appears to ‘screw’ at his fences (twist his back when jumping) quite often.

Capodanno finally got back to the track in February when finishing third to Janidil over two and a half miles in the Grade Two Red Mills Chase at Gowran Park. That run was on ground that didn't suit so it's difficult to know what to make of his reappearance.

The other issue regarding the Grand National would be his unproven stamina. Capodanno has only raced up to three miles at the moment and the gelding’s sire, Manduro, has yet to have one of his progeny race over further than three miles one furlong, despite them having over 600 runs under National Hunt rules.

Capodanno’s lofty position in the Grand National betting is surely due to his owner’s keenness to run a number of horses at Aintree and the fact the horse is trained by W P Mullins. 

Given the horse's lack of experience and questionable jumping style, he looks a risky bet in the National.

Capodanno Basic Info

Horse: Capodanno
Number: 0
Trainer: Willie Mullins
Age: 8
Jockey: Not known yet
Weight: 11-4

Capodanno Form Stats

Official BHA Rating:161
Last 5 Races:3P-631
Wins over 3-4 Miles:3
Wins over 4 Miles:0
Biggest Chase Win:£72k
Prize Money - This Season:£85k
Prize Money - Career:£218k
Wins / Runs This Season:1/3
Falls This Season:0
Career Falls:1
Runs in Chases:10
Runs over Grand National Fences:0
Days Since Last Race
(on day of race):
287

Capodanno - Our Ratings (out of 10)

Stamina:5
Jumping:5
Form:7
Ability to Handle the Course:5
Ground Preference:Good to Soft
Stable Rating:8
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